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For an aircraft unable to reach a runway on land, ditching in water is a common and, generally, highly-survivable option; however, for the space shuttle, according to Wikipedia, "...an ocean ditching was not survivable" (although it lists no source for this claim). What was it about the space shuttle that made it incapable of ditching into water in a survivable manner?

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    $\begingroup$ Since it flies like brick why wouldn’t it sink like brick ;) $\endgroup$ – vasin1987 Jul 6 '18 at 4:26
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    $\begingroup$ "ditching in water is a common and, generally, highly-survivable option" - I think this is quite optimistic. Perhaps for small planes, but remember the Shuttle was a large aircraft, about the length and weight of a 737. The linked WP list gives just four airliners which ditched since 1970; two had very significant casualties, and one of the other two was in a stream so shallow it effectively did a belly landing on the riverbed. $\endgroup$ – Andrew Jul 6 '18 at 22:40
  • $\begingroup$ There's a big difference between a "water landing" and an "ocean landing". Inland waters (lakes, rivers) are reasonably smooth surfaces. The ocean very much isn't. $\endgroup$ – Mark Jul 7 '18 at 1:08
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    $\begingroup$ Just wondering how common (and how much highly survivable) ditching airplane in water actually is. I know any stats are biased because ditching is done often in emergencies (without engines, etc.), but anyway, are these claims about relatively safe and common water ditching really true even for an aircraft? $\endgroup$ – okolnost Jul 7 '18 at 8:40
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The wiki line provides no citation nor any elaboration but is largely correct. It was found that the orbiter actually had a favorable shape to ditch,

The Langley report does state that the Orbiter shape and mass [182] properties are good for ditching, but given the structural problems and deceleration loads, that is little consolation.

This was touched upon in the Challenger report, ultimately the high loads would simply have not lead to a survivable impact which had to do with both the high approach speeds and potentially insecure cargo mass (from a deceleration standpoint).

In 1974 and 1975, ditching studies were conducted at Langley Research Center. Although test limitations precluded definitive conclusions, the studies suggested that the loads at water impact would be high. The deceleration would most probably cause structural failure of the crew cabin support ties to the fuselage, which would impede crew egress and possibly flood the cabin. Furthermore, payloads in the cargo bay are not designed to withstand decelerations as high as those expected, 2 and would very possibly break free and travel forward to the crew cabin. The Langley report does state that the Orbiter shape and mass [182] properties are good for ditching, but given the structural problems and deceleration loads, that is little consolation.

Orbiter ditching was discussed by the Crew Safety Panel and at Orbiter flight techniques meetings before the first Shuttle flight. The consensus of these groups was that (1) ditching is more hazardous than suggested by the early Langley tests, and (2) ditching is probably not survivable.

This view was reiterated in the September 9, 1982, letter from Griffin to Abrahamson:

"We also suggest no further effort be expended to study bailout or ditching. There is considerable doubt that either case is technically feasible with the present Orbiter design. Even if a technical solution can be found, the impact of providing either capability is so severe in terms of cost and schedule as to make them impractical."

There is no evidence that a Shuttle crew would survive a water impact. Since all contingency aborts and all first stage abort capabilities that are being studied culminate in a water impact, an additional provision for crew escape before impact should also be considered.

Astronaut Paul Weitz expressed this before the Commission on April 3, 1986:

*"My feeling is so strong that the Orbiter will not survive a ditching, and that includes land, water or any unprepared surface....

"I think if we put the crew in a position where they're going to be asked to do a contingency abort, then they need some means to get out of the vehicle before it contacts earth, the surface of the earth."*

Nasa did publish a study about ditching analysis of airborne vehicles here (focusing on the shuttle) its science heavy but an interesting read on the subject.

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    $\begingroup$ @Sean not if the flooding prevents access to the exit hatch. The last thing you want to make the crew do after a crash is have to swim to an un-opened hatch and get it open, under water as the craft sank around them. $\endgroup$ – Dave Jul 5 '18 at 22:49
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    $\begingroup$ If the exterior pressure of the shuttle is higher than the interior the system will balance it assuming it survives the impact, and the impact does not do enough damage to equalize pressure elsewhere. $\endgroup$ – Dave Jul 5 '18 at 22:54
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    $\begingroup$ @Sean I would think, in this case a system that allowed air to flow in would also allow water to flow in $\endgroup$ – Dave Jul 5 '18 at 23:06
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    $\begingroup$ Let us continue this discussion in chat. $\endgroup$ – Sean Jul 5 '18 at 23:07
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    $\begingroup$ NASA released film of ditching tests it performed on the shuttle orbiter -- it's on youtube at youtube.com/watch?v=X9kBOmHlQws $\endgroup$ – Tristan Jul 6 '18 at 16:16
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The shuttle lands at 220 mph and would break up. This is 40% faster than airliners with twice the energy to dissipate and the shuttle structure is a great deal lighter. The orbiters were designed to go to space, ending each mission of their 100 mission lives by landing on a smooth runway. Airliners are designed for forty to a hundred thousand landings or more and they don't always fare that well in water either.

enter image description here

(Youtube - Ethiopian 961)

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    $\begingroup$ Many more than 10 landings; the shuttles averaged about 35 landings each before they were retired, and could have managed more. $\endgroup$ – Russell Borogove Jul 6 '18 at 1:07
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    $\begingroup$ @RussellBorogove Updated, thanks, but the point still holds. I found a JPL reference. $\endgroup$ – Pilothead Jul 6 '18 at 1:42
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    $\begingroup$ Re "don't always fare that well in water", that's far more a matter of the crewt trying to control the plane while fighting off hijackers, than of ditching. The same "landing" on an actual runway would have been as bad, if not worse (as the wreck might have caught fire). $\endgroup$ – jamesqf Jul 6 '18 at 4:45
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    $\begingroup$ The didn't call it a "Flying Brick" for nothing. There isn't much margin of control for landing safely on a normal runway (the actual shuttle landing strip is longer than "normal"), let alone a water landing. $\endgroup$ – Bradley Uffner Jul 6 '18 at 11:56
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    $\begingroup$ @forest: The Wikipedia article atates otherwise: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethiopian_Airlines_Flight_961 And if the pilot was not fighting hijackers (or otherwise distracted), then why does the plane bank at the last second, causing one wing to strike the water first? My point is that regardless of what actually caused the wing strike, the plane would also have crashed if it had happened on land. $\endgroup$ – jamesqf Jul 8 '18 at 4:11

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